In gradient boosting, what is each newly added tree fit to predict?
- aThe original target again, so that every tree in the ensemble becomes an independent estimate of it.
- bA bootstrap resample of the target, drawn separately for each tree in the boosting sequence.
- cThe average of the predictions that all previously fitted trees produced for that same row.
- dWhatever the current ensemble still gets wrong, expressed as the negative gradient of the loss.✓
Explanation:Boosting is additive: the prediction is an initial estimate plus the shrunken output of each tree in turn, and every tree is fit to the negative gradient of the loss at the current prediction. Fitting the raw target independently, or bootstrapping it per tree, describes bagging-style ensembles such as random forests. Averaging earlier predictions would add no new information at all.